my big 2009 stock picks – new option practice trades going into new year
hello. how has your stock trading been going these days? currently I’m reading the Dick Davis Dividend. a big fat book with a lot of “i don’t knows” in it. i’m about only 30 pages in to it. definitely a slow read and waiting for the good stuff. i’ve never known a writer so interested in summer camp. i couldn’t stand the ones i was a counselor at so i suppose its how much you dig it.
for my 2009 big stock picks (For myself):
i have a strong conviction that X Steel (X) currently at $38 is going back up up up. it just recently broke its downtrend and slow like a crater tippy toeing back up. i could be wrong and like mr. davis “i don’t know” because there are so many “ifs” in the market that change circumstances, but for now if i bet my life on it i’d buy X call options and the stock (covered calls). even in a slow economy we are still building and so is many growing countries such as china and india. other stocks i see ripe are Apple (AAPL) at $98. it recently hit $110. i see everyone with an iPod and many people i know and people i meet talk about how they want to buy an apple computer. when you go into their mall show room retail stores its stuffed with helpful workers and masses of interested potential and current apple fans. i think another star is AMAT Technologies (AMAT). currently at $10 it is one of those innovative companies and with obama’s energy bill it should strike some wicked fat solar contracts. southwestern energy company (SWN) is always knocking its head with the trend. if you look at the charts its broke its trend and has been moving sideways. its currently on its low so i expect it to move past $30 again currently at $28+ a share. lastly the credit card companies Mastercard (MA) and Visa (V) are both on a tidal wave and likely profiting from this credit mess and consumers going back to credit card use not home equity for all those christmas presents this year for the kiddies. V at $52 still new to the stock market exchange is likely to move quicker past $60 i think.
for my stock trades i’m currently still up +690% since august 2008. if i would have sold out of my last option trades sooner i would have been up more but because i neglected them i lost over 130% on those trades, but that’s okay i’m back in practicing again and that is what counts. i just need to keep practicing even when I see a stock like HOKU at $2.89 and I want to be in it. the more practicing i do the closer and sooner i will get to my goal of understand my stocks better to trade them with less risk and what pisses me off the most is telling me trading in the stock market is gambling. it isn’t if you take real calculated risks which i am practicing on this year.
see recent practice trades going into new year 2009:
December 15, 2008 | Categories: 2008 stock trends, aapl options, put and call option practice plays, Southwestern Energy Company, stocks going up, trading options, x | Tags: 2009 stock picks, aapl, amat, broken stock downtrends, call and put option practice trades for december 2008, dick davis dividend book, HOKU, ma, mini christmas claus rally 2008, stock trades going into the new year, swn, the stock market and gambling, v, x, X Steel Company | 2 Comments
my practice trades for the rest of the week put and call options – ICE has a real unique chart currently showing “W” reversal.
currently the only chart that stands out from many perfectly downtrends technical charts is ICE with a plain view “W” support bullish reversal on dailly and 233 minute charts. check it out for yourself. since it’s by itself I don’t think i would trade it as a real trade just because everything is moving down so if the market keeps moving down by force it will too.
put and call option practice trades on V,AAPL,ATVI,FSLR,GOOG,HANS,RIMM,SBUX,EOG,SWN,RIG,NYX,MA,DKS,SHLD,ICE
October 8, 2008 | Categories: trading stock options | Tags: aapl, atvi, bullish october 2008 stocks, DKS, downtrending, EOG, fslr, goog, hans, ICE, ma, market crash 08, NYX, put and call option practice trades on V, rig, rimm, SBUX, shld, stock technical chart trading, swn | Leave a comment
wild market seems like. trading blind.
It seems since I got back from patrol in march 08′ that I’ve been the total slacker journaling in my market diary, practice trades, and just keeping up with my favorite stocks. I basically traded blind in April-May and got what I deserved losing my account. The market has been so wild. Like today FSLR down almost 40 pts in a month and specifically down -$15 today. GOOG has been moving up finally and it’s PEG of 1.00 deserves the stock to do so. A $600-700 price target looks really realistic with all the billions, new technologyies, and still growth. Then there is oil and energy stocks. It’s a no brainer oil stocks were going to move higher and pull back. Lastly theres big growth stocks like MA and V. I have to admit I was not trading V at the right time at $82 twice. When I saw is laying dead at $77 that was the right pull back price now currently hit $87 this move would have been plenty to earn 100% on, but I guess you keep learning and eating dirt along the way…
Still waiting to close. VA appraisers most be stereotyped to take forever to finish so now I have to wait the full amount which is June 6th supposedly to get my keys. My refinancing if everything goes smooth will be June 9th. My home was appraised at $117k in Virginia. I’m still happy with that with the markets fluctuating in housing industry. That’s still almost a 50% gain over 3 years on the purchase price. My home in Hawaii was appraised higher then the selling price so the appraiser knew it was worth well more then what I paid. Usually a home is only appraised at the loan value not more over while mine was appraised $10k over the purchase price meaning the true market value is around $60-80k in the money full of equity. This is pleasing in the chance that in a few years I could earn over $100k would be awesome if I did decide to sell. Even then I’m going to turn this into my dream home (or should I say apartment) so I might really end of loving it.
May 29, 2008 | Categories: trading stock options | Tags: appraisals, big returns, condo, dream home in hawaii, equity, fslr, goog, housing industry, ma, refinancing investment properties, stocks, v | 4 Comments
Bought V May 85 Calls I-T-M. Thinking a soon sell-off…
I love Visa (V) and I bought 1 contract today at $4. This IPO has a higher PE + double the capitilization of Mastercard (MA) so it should surpass MA in price currently at $298! With Visa @ $86 seems very undervalued and at a bargain price now publicly offered in my opinion especially with a bigger better branded name on more credit cards.
I bought another SWN SEP 40 Call @ $6.10 (same price) so now I have two contracts with the price currently hovering around $7.50 a contract. My GTC is at $8.10 even though I want to raise it I’d rather put it in a faster moving stock like Visa.
I’ve got this subconcious feeling looking at some over inflated stock price charts that some big stocks are ready to sell-off by investors taking a breather and dealing with other factors such as their homes falling in price such as First Solar, Bidu, and Google. Yeah, I know major growth stocks with good stories, but my daily and weekly charts seem to indicate engulfing bearish candles and if within reason (week) or so they don’t move up much higher then they should follow the current down trend further down. I would short them, but I’ve been burned way too many times losing money. So until I see a big break in trend or big move I will not listen to my gutt and instead not trade the stocks at all to be safe then sorry.
I’m extremely confident that AAPL, SWN, and V will continue a strong uptrend with of course dips and pull backs in the markets, but will go UP without reason for big reasons that are making the stocks $$$.
My order on V MAY 85 Calls:
5/6/2008 10:45:47 AM (ET):
Description: V MAY 85 Call
Stock: V at 86.93
Action: Bought To Open
Quantity: 1 contract(s)
Reg Fees: $0.00
Net Amt: $414.95
GTC @ $8 +100% <— Goal time within 3-7 days
May 6, 2008 | Categories: trading stock options | Tags: aapl, bidu, fslr, goog, gutt feeling, ma, market analysis, option trade, p/e, sell-off stock prediction, shorting stocks, swn, v, visa | 2 Comments
what’s up with apple options. up +6, but option -1.50?
Hmmmm….I thought I would be checking out of my option today, but instead of it moving with the price increase it actually fell in price. I do understand options are adjusted in price, but this usually happens on mondays or end of the month. I’m a bit confused of why my option is now not 6-7 dollars at the strike price of $175. I suppose I’ll have to wait for Apple to make a full move to $175 to sell out at a reasonable profit. I’m definitely glad I didn’t go 100% in with my money because all the May options seems adjusted today by the market maker. That bastard. This is the first time the stock goes up and my options go down dramatically (-25%). Now AAPL at $169 (bought around $163) and waiting for Friday’s movement. With MSFT’s unhappy earnings being a major player in the market it might bring down other tech stocks such as AAPL.
I find it funny that all those blog posters on buying apple inc. on a dip never got a chance unless it dips next week. I think since it had a positive day after earnings that it will continually go up in price for a while with less pull backs proving its a major player in computer sales.
As for now I have to wait until I’m in the money to sell out about up 100%. Two stocks I want to play long-term are Southwestern Energy which just went through a 2:1 stocksplit and moving up at $40 and Visa (V) a new financial credit stock which is highly more popular then Mastercard (MA) and trading at $71. If I had a choice of investing all my money it would be divided between these two stocks and not Apple. I like Apple, but the technology market is weird, although people are always going to use their credit cards and with ever increasing cars oil is still needed and natural resources means big profit.
April 24, 2008 | Categories: trading stock options | Tags: aapl earnings, apple inc blog, ma, oil profit, stocksplit 2:1, swn, v, visa, weird option movement | 1 Comment
new stock chart trends updated (right – CHART TRENDS)
I’ve uploaded about 20 of the stocks I watch daily, where the trend I think it is going, and commentary on the chart for my reference to see if I was right or wrong for future new charts.
charts updated: (put curser over chart picture and it will give name of stock)
aapl, atvi, rimm, goog, bidu, fxi, dks, hans, hoku, rig, swn, inp, ttm, ma, c, and more.
January 24, 2008 | Categories: 2008 stock trends, aapl, atvi, bidu, C, DKS, fxi, goog, hans, HOKU, INP, ma, predictions on stocks, rig, rimm, stock chart trends, swn, TTM | Tags: 2008 prediction on stock trends, aapl, atvi, bidu, C, DKS, fxi, goog, hans, HOKU, INP, ma, rig, rimm, stock trend charts, swn, TTM | 1 Comment
new trend chart technical analysis for January 11, 2008 stocks
I’ve got the time to upload some new trend charts I’m studying to see them just click on the flickr trend picture column or click here to see my flickr page of all my trend charts.
trend charts include: AAPL, ATVI, C, DKS, FXI, HOKU, HANS, MA, INP, TTM, YHOO, GOOG, RIG, SWN, RIMM
check out INP. I’ve seen this stock go from $48 to now $112. Like FXI I think it still has much room to grow with small downs and big moves up with India’s major growth. I believe TTM will start to follow india stocks with its new plan for $2500 car.
check out AAPL. will it get support at current price levels ($172)? major trend will be breached soon if Mac Expo 08′ and earning on january 18th do not give investors reasons to keep charging the stock up. If you look at any other tech stock right now BIDU, GOOG, RIMM charts show in favor of major downtrend to form if negative opinions continue on the economy.
btw – only 70 pages left of Alan Greenspans book! great book and very insightful.
January 13, 2008 | Categories: 2008, aapl, atvi, C, DKS, fxi, goog, hans, HOKU, INP, january 11, ma, rig, rimm, stock chart trends, swn, trend chart technical analysis, TTM, yhoo | Tags: 2008, aapl, atvi, C, DKS, fxi, goog, hans, HOKU, INP, january 11, ma, rig, rimm, stock chart trend technical analysis, swn, TTM, yhoo | 2 Comments
Choppy fall markets continue with late day sell offs and rollercoasters!
So I’m in San Diego, CA on my north patrol portal. This is my first of many I suppose if our boat keeps working. The stock market has been ruff as usually simular to Alaska waters. I uploaded many technical analysis on stocks charts so be sure to see them (flickr pics on right side).
So I’m thinking after looking at many charts that the markets trend is still going down.
My practice option trading would go something like this: [short term plays]
BUYING CALLS on:
Southwestern Energy Company (SWN @ $49) – hitting bottom BB’s with strong trend up with raising oil prices increasing more popularity for energy to increase.
GameStop Co. (GME @ $51) – following strong uptrend and has been sold off even though it is the number one electronics game retailer. Every kid, teenager, and dad goes to this store to buy new and used games. It’s hot, and going into christmas its sales should increasingly rise.
BUYING PUTS on:
Apple Inc. (AAPL @ $172) – Hot product, high price, but currently tech and the entire market makes this stock so vulnerable to any move and I think the next move will be down.
Sears Holding Co. (SHLD @ $107) – Super company, lowering peg, but it seems retail just isn’t the industry to be buying in at the moment. Big downtrends and probably will see lower prices before buying happens.
Macy’s (M @ $28) – Again. Mega store everyone knows, but not in the buying club at the moment. Is anything? Low peg, lots of value, but no buying into it.
Goldman Sachs (GS @ $207) – This financial stock even though has losses is one of the better value you ones that won’t be held down for too long. Low peg of .70, low PE, but the banking stocks are just in crutches. The only banking stock I think should outperform all the others besides losses is Bearsterns (BSC @ $91) because its book/price is $86. I think it will keep bouncing off this support price. Peg currently at 1.06. I think this is the best play if buying CALLS. BSC will be the first to back to its highs, at least I think.
Citigroup (C @ $31) – This stock is going to its grave in my opinion. Mega huge banking system that I feel hasn’t got credit for the billions it has lost yet. But nothing can beat Country Wide financial (CFC @ $8) – This thing is going to $1 in my opinion. Mega PUT stock. You could probably get rich playing PUTS on it if you were smart and had money left to trade.
Google (GOOG @ $666) – Note the price! Scary huh? Stock charts show GOOG flipping over and about to be sold, at least short term. Peg is 1.26 not bad for a $600 stock which really says something, its going higher!
Nutri Systems Inc (NTRI @ $25) – This stock just has big pops (big white canldes) and then tanks. Sell offs. Funny thing is that its peg is like only .36 or something right now. IF IF IF it proves still to have good growth next quarter this stock is going to jump probably 30-50% in one day. Sounds crazy, but I could see it happening being sold off like an ugly stock now, but it is also getting all these lawsuit cases which probably isn’t helping publicity to want to buy it either.
Mastercard (MA @ $181) – Hot stock, super product. They basically just make millions a day off dumb consumers spending credit cards and never paying them off. I’m really not sorry if you are one of them. You have a choice, which is why this stock is going higher, but in the mean time it looks like it is being sold off some.
Ocean Outrigger (RIG @ $129) – RIG looks ready to fall some. Major growth and long-term CALL play in my opinion with rising oil prices.
Dicks Sporting Goods (DKS @ $30) – recent +7% just went to 0%. Falling charts makes this a short-term PUT play. Lots of Tv advertising you should be noticing especially on ESPN. They want to be a number one sports retailer and they are doing the right things to get there and stay there for a while.
China International Index Fund (FXI @ $168) – This stock has been falling and will continue to with the markets/asia markets. Charts show more selling coming.
November 27, 2007 | Categories: 2007 market crash, 2007 option picks, 2007 stock picks, 50 - 200 day moving averages, aapl, apple inc stock, asia stock crash, bsc, china index fund, citigroup stock, dicks sporting goods, DKS, fxi, gme, goldman sachs, goog, google stock, gs, ma, mastercard stock, NTRI, nutri systems stock, rig, shld, swn, trading stock options, why is ntri falling? | Tags: 2007 short term future outlook, aapl, bsc, buying call and put options, C, DKS, fxi, gme, goog, gs, M, ma, NTRI, rig, shld, stock market blog, swn | 2 Comments