AAPL @ $169 as you can see everything shown at the Apple Mac expo 2008 wasn’t much of a surprise. As I noted earlier analyst were being very negative on this expo which made me think Apple was likely and predictably going to fall. Down -11pts is nothing what I expected from a company that sold a spectacular 4 million iPhones in 6 months, gains 8% of computer market, and comes out with a new sleek innovative products, nonetheless this is why investors are saying it is a recessing bear market.
My AAPL JAN 220 Calls are worth $.01 so even the $.04 play didn’t work out, wow.
This is why any novice trader tells you to practice trade before doing real trades. I actually do many practice trades. I don’t know what I’m missing from this big equation. I keep losing. I make a good profit, then I lose twice to three times as much as I win. Why? I really think I justify why I get into trades, but then why with conviction I keep losing more then gaining? I’m starting to come to the moron conclusion that options are very risky. If I would of bought Apple stock at $200 I still would have lost as much as I have even though my loss is limited at $4000 going into the option trade.
I wish, wish, I had someone to really guide me and teach me, discipline me as a student. I need regulation in my trading to get better. I feel I am just gambling my money away because I haven’t gotten anywhere. Every year I start with between $1000-10000 and I end up losing it all. If I would just buy an index fund or large cap stock I probably wouldn’t have losses near as bad but I wouldn’t have any incredible gains to boost my networth either. I’m not greedy I just want to reach my goals. My goals are hard so I expect cumbersome account to build to what I want.
Last year I said theres always next years mac expo. Here I am still empty handed. shit.
Recently I’ve just started a fasttrack college course for an upper level Human Resources class. HR is much harder then I expected. I thought it would be cake! I give HR people much more credit now having to understand all the laws, rules, and regulations on hiring and planning your workforce. Being an HR takes brains I do not have to spare.
For stocks AAPL @ $138 has just been waiting for something to make it move. The news of its 1 millionth iPhone sale is good news to my options which are now in the negative again since I did not sell them when God gave me the choice to up a couple grand. I’m going to stick to my guns about AAPL stock moving much higher. I have to admit the $10 g’s I put into the options can not lose since that money is needed for another mobile home park I’m interested in buying. AAPL currently has a strong upward trend and I count on it to move much higher into Oct if more, many more, iPhones are sold. It’s a hot product and with the price reduction it should sell much more because a new “i” trend product. I’d like to make $20 g’s on AAPL options move the initial $10 g’s out into my escrow for my down payment and use the profits to buy more options. Another stock moving right along which has 100% broken it’s downward trend is SWN. SWN @ $42 now is steadily moving up with new $80 oil highs. Historically both stocks AAPL and SWN and NTRI have moved up end of August into October.
Currently I’m in “C” school for my military rate. It’s awesome. I’d really like to live the college dorm life even in my 30’s. Good food, exercise, computers labs, and young beautiful women. It doesn’t get much better then this. I feel so relaxed and no stress bothering me except getting business deals completed and selling out of stocks profitably.
So far I was wrong about SWN options since I bought them way way too early in Aug and now in Sept they will expire when the stock is just started to move up the past 6 days.
My NYX options that end is Sept have no chance since the stock is so hated. NYX should be a powerhouse and maybe one day it will be trading very high, but for now it doesn’t move past the $80’s.
I’m keeping an eye on NTRI which has moved down to $48 and now strong up into the $55’s. RIG @ $105 is still in the .31 PEG. Unbelieveable if you ask me.
It seems to me Fridays are always bearish or at least a great percentage. Every call option I’ve ever bought seems to drop on Friday. I believe I was even hinted from my mentor that Fridays stocks seem to fall after a week of traded on weakness and tiredness in the market place. I expected the market to continue falling after a small rally buying session after Feb 27’s predicted sell off. Fed Bernanke keeps trying to make investors stay optimistic about the economy’s neutral position and still solid fundamentals, but investors seem pretty gloomy. I’m gloomy, but today reading some old materials on the stock market I realized something significant which is that we are in “warnings season” when profits are lowered and companies warn about lower earnings. So I should be embracing this not being gloomy. I’m trading the wrong positions currently and that is probably why my portfolio is taking a beating. I’ve been very bad is the past 15 days I planned to pay off my car I instead traded all my money again.
“All aboard I’m all in” – for some reason I think like this and its getting to risky for my financial goals and health status.
I just recently purchased my first customized 6’6″ Classic 1970’s Fish surfboard. I’m going to have an awesome graphics design on the board with ironically my golden stock rules I keep forgetting or ignorning on the front so they are looking right at me while waiting for waves, and on the back I’m going to have a rising sun picture (like Japan’s rising sun flag) with the artwork called “rising sun” which is a male with wings stretched out taking off for hope on top of the rising sun image. Next to the male (possibly with a cartoonish image of my face) will be a mean bull on the left and a scared bear on the right. Under the drawing it will say “bull vs bear”.
This will be my stock market surfboard to remind me everytime I go surfing that I need to follow these rules to control the bulls and bears to be a master of the market. This might sound kind of nerdy and not very surfing imagery like, but surfing is a great time for quietness and memorization. The more I read those rules sitting out in the ocean the more I should live by them. I will post a picture of my board when its done.
Right now the market is shakey. This big sell off should spark a upwards rally, but we could be in for an extended decline. I think Apple Inc. in May starting to sell iPhone units will be a big help in pushing tech stocks like Apple higher, including Sony’s PS3 being a hot product with blue ray, Research and Motion’s phones, and Nintendo’s Wii performing and selling so well.
Speaking of “blue ray” this is definitely something to lookout for. I’m going to start researching companying manufacturing it and selling it because it will be the new HD picture formating tool of the future. Instead of DVD players you’ll start seeing Blue Ray players to show true HD picture which is now needed if you want to watch true HD movies/shows.